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Red119
12622.6
346746.7
740734.8
Blue145
7834.4
13341.7
12544.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10412750150200119145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.5
43.243.7
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
red by 2.3
125
#1
44.41.2
38.840.0
Auto17.4
Teleop20.8
End6.2
Second
34.80.5
30.831.3
Auto11.5
Teleop17.3
End6.1
blue by 7.0
133
#3
41.71.2
38.639.8
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End7.5
Third
126
#21
22.60.5
22.422.9
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
blue by 11.8
78
#10
34.41.2
34.635.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsMissed96%Ensemble oddsEarned