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Red97
71624.1
804620.5
456431.8
Blue70
318222.6
596218.4
404121.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925802040801001201401609770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#20
31.81.2
32.533.7
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
red by 9.2
3182
#41
22.60.8
18.219.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.7
End2.7
Second
716
#22
24.11.2
23.224.4
Auto11.1
Teleop11.2
End1.7
red by 2.6
4041
#42
21.50.8
20.921.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Third
8046
#19
20.51.2
23.524.7
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 2.0
5962
#45
18.40.8
17.418.2
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed