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Red98
24621.6
5831.5
944328.7
Blue68
237030.5
23630.0
31923.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79862040601001201409868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#5
31.51.7
29.631.3
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
red by 0.9
2370
#14
30.50.6
24.223.7
Auto7.5
Teleop20.5
End2.5
Second
9443
#15
28.71.7
22.924.6
Auto13.0
Teleop12.5
End3.2
blue by 1.3
236
#12
30.00.6
28.628.0
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
Third
246
#38
21.61.7
19.621.3
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End0.5
blue by 2.0
319
#31
23.50.6
24.023.4
Auto5.3
Teleop16.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed