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Red74
673125.6
17525.4
13134.0
Blue67
9521.0
17224.3
404827.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80840501001502007467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#2
34.00.1
29.029.0
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
red by 6.5
4048
#37
27.50.5
33.833.2
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
6731
#26
25.60.1
22.622.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 1.3
172
#44
24.30.5
18.117.5
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Third
175
#6
25.40.1
21.421.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.9
red by 4.4
95
#28
21.00.5
23.322.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsEarned44%Ensemble oddsMissed