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Red95
99926.6
870817.9
13341.7
Blue79
862614.7
12544.4
15520.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888970801001109579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
41.71.0
39.840.7
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End7.5
blue by 2.6
125
#1
44.40.4
40.039.6
Auto17.4
Teleop20.8
End6.2
Second
999
#17
26.61.0
28.829.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.1
End2.6
red by 6.3
155
#35
20.30.4
21.020.7
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Third
8708
#39
17.91.0
11.912.8
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 3.2
8626
#48
14.70.4
18.618.2
Auto9.9
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
88%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed