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Red86
287624.6
7834.4
314627.5
Blue60
454626.1
910115.7
16631.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95810501508660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#10
34.40.7
35.835.1
Auto9.6
Teleop21.3
End3.5
red by 2.5
166
#30
31.91.0
32.431.4
Auto8.5
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Second
27.50.7
23.522.8
Auto10.2
Teleop14.2
End3.1
red by 1.5
4546
#46
26.11.0
23.622.6
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End0.9
Third
2876
#29
24.60.7
24.824.1
Auto11.3
Teleop11.4
End1.8
red by 8.9
9101
#47
15.71.0
18.617.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed