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Red60
404121.5
456431.8
673125.6
Blue109
172922.6
740734.8
5831.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869005010015020060109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#20
31.81.3
33.732.3
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
blue by 3.0
34.81.5
30.632.1
Auto11.5
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
6731
#26
25.61.3
22.721.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End2.7
blue by 5.8
58
#5
31.51.5
31.332.8
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
Third
4041
#42
21.51.3
21.720.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
blue by 1.1
1729
#24
22.61.5
19.420.9
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
57%Ensemble oddsEarned75%Ensemble oddsEarned