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Red92
107118.0
365419.8
346746.7
Blue90
581335.7
66317.7
12622.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8590506070801001101201309290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.71.0
43.744.7
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
red by 11.0
5813
#11
35.70.6
35.736.3
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
Second
3654
#23
19.81.0
17.818.8
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End2.0
blue by 2.7
126
#21
22.60.6
22.923.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
1071
#43
18.01.0
16.016.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.7
red by 0.3
663
#34
17.70.6
22.122.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned