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Red75
314627.5
545922.8
514222.5
Blue105
15520.3
573531.7
944328.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688605010015075105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.7
22.823.5
Auto10.2
Teleop14.2
End3.1
blue by 4.2
5735
#25
31.71.1
30.631.7
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End2.4
Second
5459
#32
22.80.7
18.919.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
blue by 5.9
9443
#15
28.71.1
24.625.8
Auto13.0
Teleop12.5
End3.2
Third
5142
#27
22.50.7
22.423.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End3.3
red by 2.2
155
#35
20.31.1
20.721.8
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned