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Red58
404827.5
287624.6
365419.8
Blue62
105832.8
71624.1
31923.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83912040601001201405862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#37
27.51.5
33.231.7
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
blue by 5.3
1058
#16
32.81.3
33.432.2
Auto12.2
Teleop18.2
End2.4
Second
2876
#29
24.61.5
24.122.5
Auto11.3
Teleop11.4
End1.8
red by 0.5
716
#22
24.11.3
24.423.1
Auto11.1
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Third
3654
#23
19.81.5
18.817.2
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End2.0
blue by 3.7
319
#31
23.51.3
23.422.1
Auto5.3
Teleop16.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed