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Red118
7834.4
804620.5
346746.7
Blue75
237030.5
9521.0
964419.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1296405010015020011875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.6
46.447.0
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
red by 16.2
2370
#14
30.50.3
25.225.5
Auto7.5
Teleop20.5
End2.5
Second
78
#10
34.40.6
36.737.3
Auto9.6
Teleop21.3
End3.5
red by 13.3
95
#28
21.00.3
21.121.4
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Third
8046
#19
20.50.6
26.026.6
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 0.9
9644
#33
19.60.3
19.319.6
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed