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Red83
632943.8
314627.5
5831.5
Blue79
581335.7
107118.0
287624.6
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119790501001502008379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#13
43.81.3
46.545.2
Auto12.8
Teleop28.5
End2.5
red by 8.0
5813
#11
35.70.2
37.537.4
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
Second
58
#5
31.51.3
32.831.5
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
red by 6.9
2876
#29
24.60.2
22.522.4
Auto11.3
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Third
27.51.3
23.522.2
Auto10.2
Teleop14.2
End3.1
red by 9.5
1071
#43
18.00.2
16.216.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsMissed