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Red85
99926.6
346121.6
105832.8
Blue116
13341.7
693328.2
174029.4
21%Model gave it79%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011140608010012014016085116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#16
32.80.1
32.232.3
Auto12.2
Teleop18.2
End2.4
blue by 8.9
133
#3
41.71.2
41.442.6
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End7.5
Second
999
#17
26.60.1
28.828.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.1
End2.6
blue by 2.8
1740
#18
29.41.2
26.828.1
Auto12.0
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Third
3461
#36
21.60.1
22.622.7
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End0.6
blue by 6.6
6933
#40
28.21.2
29.530.8
Auto12.0
Teleop14.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed90%Ensemble oddsMissed