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Red107
15520.3
545922.8
13134.0
Blue84
23630.0
24621.6
456431.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7795406012014016010784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#2
34.02.0
30.732.7
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
red by 2.2
4564
#20
31.80.1
32.332.2
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
Second
5459
#32
22.82.0
19.621.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
blue by 7.2
236
#12
30.00.1
29.329.2
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
Third
155
#35
20.32.0
21.823.8
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 1.2
246
#38
21.60.1
22.021.9
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned69%Ensemble oddsEarned