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Red91
105832.8
545922.8
693328.2
Blue92
804620.5
5831.5
107118.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96800501502009192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#16
32.80.4
32.332.7
Auto12.2
Teleop18.2
End2.4
red by 1.3
58
#5
31.50.5
31.532.0
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
Second
6933
#40
28.20.4
30.831.2
Auto12.0
Teleop14.3
End1.9
red by 7.7
8046
#19
20.50.5
26.627.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Third
5459
#32
22.80.4
21.622.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
red by 4.8
1071
#43
18.00.5
16.116.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned