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Red73
314627.5
237030.5
174029.4
Blue94
596218.4
740734.8
454626.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84800501001502002503007394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#14
30.50.2
25.525.3
Auto7.5
Teleop20.5
End2.5
blue by 4.3
34.81.0
33.734.7
Auto11.5
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
1740
#18
29.40.2
28.127.9
Auto12.0
Teleop13.5
End3.8
red by 3.3
4546
#46
26.11.0
23.124.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End0.9
Third
27.50.2
22.222.0
Auto10.2
Teleop14.2
End3.1
red by 9.1
5962
#45
18.41.0
15.916.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned38%Ensemble oddsMissed