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Red72
573531.7
581335.7
71624.1
Blue98
964419.6
66317.7
632943.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105954060801201401601807298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#11
35.72.1
37.435.2
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
blue by 8.0
6329
#13
43.80.6
45.245.8
Auto12.8
Teleop28.5
End2.5
Second
5735
#25
31.72.1
31.629.5
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End2.4
red by 12.2
9644
#33
19.60.6
19.620.2
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.5
Third
716
#22
24.12.1
24.922.8
Auto11.1
Teleop11.2
End1.7
red by 6.3
663
#34
17.70.6
22.122.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsEarned