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Red102
17224.3
115332.7
7834.4
Blue77
870817.9
172922.6
514222.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016305015010277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#10
34.40.0
37.337.3
Auto9.6
Teleop21.3
End3.5
red by 11.8
1729
#24
22.60.9
22.123.0
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Second
32.70.0
30.530.5
Auto12.7
Teleop16.1
End4.0
red by 10.2
5142
#27
22.50.9
22.823.7
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Third
172
#44
24.30.0
18.918.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End2.5
red by 6.4
8708
#39
17.90.9
16.517.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
71%Ensemble oddsEarned58%Ensemble oddsEarned