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Red82
23630.0
581335.7
15520.3
Blue82
346121.6
17525.4
514222.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017840601201401608282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#11
35.7
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
red by 10.3
175
#6
25.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.9
Second
236
#12
30.0
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
red by 7.5
5142
#27
22.5
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Third
155
#35
20.3
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 1.3
3461
#36
21.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned