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Red95
99926.6
13134.0
172922.6
Blue83
596218.4
346746.7
287624.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94954060801201401609583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#2
34.00.7
33.033.7
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
blue by 12.7
46.70.2
46.246.1
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
Second
999
#17
26.60.7
28.929.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.1
End2.6
red by 2.0
2876
#29
24.60.2
22.922.7
Auto11.3
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Third
1729
#24
22.60.7
23.023.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2
red by 4.2
5962
#45
18.40.2
16.816.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
86%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed