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Red68
66317.7
346121.6
12544.4
Blue85
13134.0
9521.0
287624.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028340601201401606885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
44.41.8
44.242.4
Auto17.4
Teleop20.8
End6.2
red by 10.4
131
#2
34.00.5
33.734.2
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
Second
3461
#36
21.61.8
23.521.7
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End0.6
blue by 3.0
2876
#29
24.60.5
22.723.2
Auto11.3
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Third
663
#34
17.71.8
22.120.3
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
blue by 3.3
95
#28
21.00.5
21.321.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsEarned68%Ensemble oddsEarned