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Red69
105832.8
596218.4
870817.9
Blue91
545922.8
237030.5
581335.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73932040601201401606991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#16
32.80.0
34.334.3
Auto12.2
Teleop18.2
End2.4
blue by 2.9
5813
#11
35.70.6
35.235.8
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
Second
5962
#45
18.40.0
16.616.7
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End-0.0
blue by 12.1
2370
#14
30.50.6
24.625.2
Auto7.5
Teleop20.5
End2.5
Third
8708
#39
17.90.0
17.617.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 4.9
5459
#32
22.80.6
22.222.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned