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Red99
5831.5
573531.7
23630.0
Blue88
365419.8
99926.6
7834.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99940501502009988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5735
#25
31.70.6
27.828.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End2.4
blue by 2.6
78
#10
34.40.2
37.337.4
Auto9.6
Teleop21.3
End3.5
Second
58
#5
31.50.6
31.532.2
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
red by 4.9
999
#17
26.60.2
29.529.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.1
End2.6
Third
236
#12
30.00.6
30.030.6
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
red by 10.2
3654
#23
19.80.2
18.818.9
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
70%Ensemble oddsEarned50%Ensemble oddsEarned