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Red76
964419.6
404827.5
17525.4
Blue59
456431.8
862614.7
172922.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887702040601001201401607659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#37
27.50.5
31.631.1
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
blue by 4.3
4564
#20
31.80.8
31.030.3
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
Second
175
#6
25.40.5
26.526.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.9
red by 2.8
1729
#24
22.60.8
23.622.9
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Third
9644
#33
19.60.5
20.219.7
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.5
red by 4.9
8626
#48
14.70.8
16.015.2
Auto9.9
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed