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Red105
346746.7
115332.7
910115.7
Blue81
632943.8
673125.6
15520.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10410305015020025010581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.4
46.146.4
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
red by 2.9
6329
#13
43.80.8
45.845.0
Auto12.8
Teleop28.5
End2.5
Second
32.70.4
29.930.3
Auto12.7
Teleop16.1
End4.0
red by 7.0
6731
#26
25.60.8
23.722.9
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Third
9101
#47
15.70.4
18.318.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 4.6
155
#35
20.30.8
23.822.9
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned45%Ensemble oddsMissed