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Red54
5831.5
365419.8
404121.5
Blue93
346121.6
596218.4
314627.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85702040601001201401605493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#5
31.51.4
31.329.9
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
red by 3.9
27.51.0
27.328.4
Auto10.2
Teleop14.2
End3.1
Second
4041
#42
21.51.4
22.921.5
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
blue by 0.2
3461
#36
21.61.0
20.621.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End0.6
Third
3654
#23
19.81.4
21.319.8
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End2.0
red by 1.4
5962
#45
18.41.0
17.418.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed