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Red91
13341.7
581335.7
740734.8
Blue53
66317.7
23630.0
910115.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138620501001502009153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
41.72.0
43.441.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End7.5
red by 11.7
236
#12
30.00.8
30.029.2
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
Second
5813
#11
35.72.0
36.234.2
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
red by 18.0
663
#34
17.70.8
18.517.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
Third
34.82.0
36.534.5
Auto11.5
Teleop17.3
End6.1
red by 19.1
9101
#47
15.70.8
16.515.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
97%Ensemble oddsEarned64%Ensemble oddsEarned