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Red107
287624.6
673125.6
545922.8
Blue74
964419.6
7834.4
454626.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70942040608010012014010774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6731
#26
25.62.1
23.625.6
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End2.7
blue by 8.7
78
#10
34.40.9
34.733.9
Auto9.6
Teleop21.3
End3.5
Second
2876
#29
24.62.1
22.624.6
Auto11.3
Teleop11.4
End1.8
blue by 1.5
4546
#46
26.10.9
26.926.1
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End0.9
Third
5459
#32
22.82.1
20.122.1
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
red by 3.2
9644
#33
19.60.9
20.419.6
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsMissed