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Red95
115332.7
13134.0
514222.5
Blue51
804620.5
99926.6
404827.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97924060801201401609551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#2
34.00.4
33.033.4
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
red by 6.5
4048
#37
27.52.2
29.427.2
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
32.70.4
31.832.2
Auto12.7
Teleop16.1
End4.0
red by 6.1
999
#17
26.62.2
29.627.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.1
End2.6
Third
5142
#27
22.50.4
22.122.5
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End3.3
red by 2.1
8046
#19
20.52.2
24.822.6
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
91%Ensemble oddsEarned38%Ensemble oddsMissed