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Red65
31923.5
15520.3
9521.0
Blue105
172922.6
632943.8
237030.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681062040608012014016065105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#31
23.50.4
23.923.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.8
End1.5
blue by 20.2
6329
#13
43.80.9
42.343.2
Auto12.8
Teleop28.5
End2.5
Second
95
#28
21.00.4
21.421.0
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End3.0
blue by 9.5
2370
#14
30.50.9
28.129.0
Auto7.5
Teleop20.5
End2.5
Third
155
#35
20.30.4
20.720.3
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 2.3
1729
#24
22.60.9
21.122.0
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsMissed