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Red106
5831.5
581335.7
237030.5
Blue112
632943.8
13134.0
172922.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071116080100120140160106112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#11
35.70.2
35.535.2
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
blue by 8.0
6329
#13
43.80.3
43.643.9
Auto12.8
Teleop28.5
End2.5
Second
58
#5
31.50.2
31.230.9
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
blue by 2.5
131
#2
34.00.3
33.934.1
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
Third
2370
#14
30.50.2
30.330.0
Auto7.5
Teleop20.5
End2.5
red by 8.0
1729
#24
22.60.3
22.522.7
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2