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Red120
545922.8
12544.4
346746.7
Blue106
23630.0
16631.9
456431.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359850150200120106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.0
48.848.8
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
red by 14.8
166
#30
31.90.3
31.631.9
Auto8.5
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Second
125
#1
44.40.0
46.446.5
Auto17.4
Teleop20.8
End6.2
red by 12.6
4564
#20
31.80.3
31.531.8
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
Third
5459
#32
22.80.0
22.722.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
blue by 7.2
236
#12
30.00.3
29.730.0
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5