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Red119
5831.5
581335.7
237030.5
Blue136
346746.7
12544.4
804620.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10213550150200119136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#11
35.70.5
35.235.7
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
blue by 11.0
46.70.2
48.849.0
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
Second
58
#5
31.50.5
30.931.5
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
blue by 12.9
125
#1
44.40.2
46.546.7
Auto17.4
Teleop20.8
End6.2
Third
2370
#14
30.50.5
30.030.5
Auto7.5
Teleop20.5
End2.5
red by 10.1
8046
#19
20.50.2
22.622.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End1.2