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Red112
456431.8
16631.9
23630.0
Blue134
237030.5
581335.7
5831.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101105708090110120130140112134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#30
31.90.3
31.331.6
Auto8.5
Teleop20.3
End3.1
blue by 3.9
5813
#11
35.70.9
34.635.5
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
Second
4564
#20
31.80.3
31.231.6
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
red by 0.3
58
#5
31.50.9
30.331.2
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
Third
236
#12
30.00.3
29.429.8
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
blue by 0.5
2370
#14
30.50.9
29.430.3
Auto7.5
Teleop20.5
End2.5