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Red110
172922.6
13134.0
632943.8
Blue108
13341.7
740734.8
404827.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101166080100140160110108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#13
43.80.0
43.643.6
Auto12.8
Teleop28.5
End2.5
red by 2.0
133
#3
41.70.1
41.841.7
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End7.5
Second
131
#2
34.00.0
33.933.9
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
blue by 0.8
34.80.1
34.834.7
Auto11.5
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Third
1729
#24
22.60.0
22.522.5
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2
blue by 5.0
4048
#37
27.50.1
27.627.5
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6