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Red100
456431.8
16631.9
23630.0
Blue97
573531.7
105832.8
17525.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039805015020010097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#30
31.90.1
31.631.6
Auto8.5
Teleop20.3
End3.1
blue by 0.9
1058
#16
32.80.2
32.632.8
Auto12.2
Teleop18.2
End2.4
Second
4564
#20
31.80.1
31.631.5
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
Level
5735
#25
31.70.2
31.631.7
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End2.4
Third
236
#12
30.00.1
29.829.7
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
red by 4.6
175
#6
25.40.2
25.225.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.9