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Red108
135019.1
632848.2
972919.6
Blue53
854418.8
346425.9
791322.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8164204010012014010853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.22.2
42.144.3
Auto17.1
Teleop23.9
End7.2
red by 22.4
3464
#15
25.91.1
22.521.4
Auto10.1
Teleop12.9
End2.9
Second
9729
#41
19.62.2
16.118.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End2.0
blue by 2.5
7913
#31
22.11.1
20.719.6
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Third
1350
#46
19.12.2
13.215.4
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End2.3
red by 0.3
8544
#36
18.81.1
16.415.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed