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Red100
287732.2
870927.3
808528.3
Blue79
23816.5
447319.8
19535.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10357015010079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#26
32.20.5
32.032.5
Auto11.3
Teleop18.6
End2.4
blue by 3.5
195
#21
35.71.5
27.729.2
Auto12.0
Teleop21.7
End2.0
Second
28.30.5
28.228.7
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
red by 8.5
4473
#44
19.81.5
15.817.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Third
27.30.5
27.928.3
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
red by 10.9
238
#38
16.51.5
13.314.8
Auto7.4
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
81%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed