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Red137
632848.2
542226.7
271335.5
Blue101
8836.6
135019.1
264827.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114784060100140160180137101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.21.9
44.346.2
Auto17.1
Teleop23.9
End7.2
red by 11.6
88
#17
36.61.8
31.433.2
Auto12.3
Teleop19.2
End5.1
Second
2713
#18
35.51.9
28.430.3
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End1.5
red by 7.6
2648
#14
27.91.8
27.829.6
Auto10.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Third
5422
#22
26.71.9
26.228.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End1.4
red by 7.6
1350
#46
19.11.8
15.417.1
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsEarned52%Ensemble oddsEarned