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Red97
808528.3
447319.8
346425.9
Blue64
17640.4
490523.5
50919.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651062040801201401609764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.6
26.827.3
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
blue by 12.1
176
#11
40.41.8
45.243.3
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End1.4
Second
3464
#15
25.90.6
21.422.0
Auto10.1
Teleop12.9
End2.9
red by 2.3
4905
#27
23.51.8
23.922.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Third
4473
#44
19.80.6
15.616.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.6
End1.8
blue by 0.1
509
#39
19.91.8
22.320.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed