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Red113
83920.7
19028.7
17731.2
Blue63
110026.2
854418.8
287732.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898505015020025011363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#2
31.21.8
30.732.5
Auto9.6
Teleop19.1
End2.5
blue by 1.0
2877
#26
32.21.3
32.230.9
Auto11.3
Teleop18.6
End2.4
Second
190
#30
28.71.8
32.734.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End2.2
red by 2.5
1100
#33
26.21.3
30.028.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Third
839
#19
20.71.8
17.018.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.6
red by 1.9
8544
#36
18.81.3
15.314.0
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed