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Red107
176837.7
207918.0
490931.0
Blue63
791322.1
206736.2
417623.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017520406012014016010763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.9
34.535.4
Auto15.1
Teleop21.5
End1.1
red by 1.5
2067
#10
36.20.5
29.929.3
Auto15.6
Teleop14.9
End5.7
Second
4909
#13
31.00.9
30.931.8
Auto13.3
Teleop14.5
End3.2
red by 7.3
4176
#29
23.70.5
21.521.0
Auto10.7
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Third
2079
#43
18.00.9
23.124.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 4.0
7913
#31
22.10.5
19.619.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsEarned