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Red64
110026.2
841021.7
216823.2
Blue97
511212.7
264827.9
271335.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757650607080901001101206497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#33
26.20.2
28.728.4
Auto8.8
Teleop15.5
End1.9
blue by 9.3
2713
#18
35.51.9
30.332.2
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End1.5
Second
23.20.2
20.520.3
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
blue by 4.7
2648
#14
27.91.9
29.631.5
Auto10.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Third
8410
#37
21.70.2
18.518.2
Auto6.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
red by 9.1
5112
#45
12.71.9
8.710.6
Auto8.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsMissed