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Red57
19535.7
50919.9
854418.8
Blue89
490523.5
417623.7
135019.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70662040801001201405789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#21
35.70.5
28.227.7
Auto12.0
Teleop21.7
End2.0
red by 12.0
4176
#29
23.71.8
21.022.7
Auto10.7
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Second
509
#39
19.90.5
20.419.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End3.3
blue by 3.6
4905
#27
23.51.8
22.023.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Third
8544
#36
18.80.5
14.013.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.6
blue by 0.3
1350
#46
19.11.8
17.118.9
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned