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Red82
287732.2
17324.0
147418.4
Blue102
791322.1
808528.3
176837.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71932040608010012014082102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#26
32.20.6
30.931.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.6
End2.4
blue by 5.4
37.70.9
35.436.2
Auto15.1
Teleop21.5
End1.1
Second
173
#23
24.00.6
22.122.7
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
blue by 4.3
28.30.9
27.328.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
Third
1474
#40
18.40.6
13.614.2
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 3.7
7913
#31
22.10.9
19.120.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned47%Ensemble oddsEarned