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Red78
111921.3
46725.3
490523.5
Blue38
971013.1
19028.7
870927.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658902040801001201401607838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#32
25.31.1
23.224.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End2.4
blue by 3.4
190
#30
28.72.7
34.832.1
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End2.2
Second
4905
#27
23.51.1
23.724.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End2.9
blue by 3.8
27.32.7
28.325.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
Third
1119
#28
21.31.1
15.116.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End2.3
red by 8.2
9710
#48
13.12.7
14.912.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed54%Ensemble oddsMissed