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Red79
801338.8
346425.9
135019.1
Blue104
632848.2
207918.0
110026.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8011205010015020079104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.80.1
33.733.8
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End6.3
blue by 9.5
48.20.4
47.347.7
Auto17.1
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Second
3464
#15
25.90.1
22.722.8
Auto10.1
Teleop12.9
End2.9
blue by 0.4
1100
#33
26.20.4
27.628.0
Auto8.8
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Third
1350
#46
19.10.1
19.519.6
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End2.3
red by 1.0
2079
#43
18.00.4
22.923.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
60%Ensemble oddsEarned58%Ensemble oddsEarned