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Red104
13819.6
287732.2
568742.8
Blue98
19535.7
271335.5
242322.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103895015010498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.8
37.137.9
Auto11.8
Teleop28.7
End2.3
red by 7.1
195
#21
35.71.1
29.830.9
Auto12.0
Teleop21.7
End2.0
Second
2877
#26
32.20.8
32.533.3
Auto11.3
Teleop18.6
End2.4
blue by 3.3
2713
#18
35.51.1
30.831.9
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End1.5
Third
138
#47
19.60.8
22.223.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End2.0
blue by 2.4
2423
#24
22.01.1
21.522.5
Auto7.2
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed