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Red38
971013.1
264827.9
111921.3
Blue77
50919.9
17731.2
808528.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599302040801001201403877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#14
27.91.3
29.227.9
Auto10.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
blue by 3.3
177
#2
31.20.2
31.030.8
Auto9.6
Teleop19.1
End2.5
Second
1119
#28
21.31.3
16.114.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End2.3
blue by 7.1
28.30.2
28.728.5
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
Third
9710
#48
13.11.3
12.210.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End0.7
blue by 6.8
509
#39
19.90.2
20.220.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed88%Ensemble oddsEarned