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Red81
19028.7
192232.7
23024.6
Blue118
632848.2
490931.0
870927.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981122040608012014016018081118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#12
32.70.6
32.031.4
Auto9.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
blue by 15.6
48.21.2
47.749.0
Auto17.1
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Second
190
#30
28.70.6
31.030.4
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End2.2
blue by 2.2
4909
#13
31.01.2
27.728.9
Auto13.3
Teleop14.5
End3.2
Third
230
#16
24.60.6
26.926.3
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End5.4
blue by 2.7
27.31.2
24.025.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
76%Ensemble oddsEarned82%Ensemble oddsEarned